71
In Search of Credible Elections and Parties: The Philippine Paradox
Table 14: Average Turnover Rates for Governors and Representatives by
Region, 1987-2010.
CAR
Region 1
Region 2
Region 3
Region 4-A
Region 4-B
Region 5
Region 6
Region 7
Region 8
Region 9
Region 10
Region 11
Region 12
Region 13
ARMM
National Average
Turnover Rate for
Governors, 19882010
2.67
1.25
2.00
1.86
2.60
3.00
2.33
2.00
2.50
2.17
2.00
2.60
2.00
2.25
1.50
1.80
2.16
Turnover Rate for
Representatives,
1987-2010
2.17
1.38
1.60
1.30
2.00
2.20
2.39
1.78
1.21
1.85
1.59
1.80
1.50
1.88
2.13
2.70
1.84
Shifting to the congressional representatives, the regions showing the
lowest turnover rates include Regions 7 and 3 (see Table 14).The long
dominance of powerful families in their respective districts in Cebu and Negros
Oriental and the complete control of the Fua family of Siquijor's lone district
largely account for the low turnover rates in the region. Thus, the Negros
congressional districts show an average turnover rate of only 1 while Cebu is at
1.5. However, Bohol shows a higher turnover rate of 2.33. On the other hand,
Region 3 hosts some of the country's longest established political families such
as those in Tarlac, Pampanga, Zambales, and relatively newer but stable
families in Aurora, Bulacan, and Bataan. While it has the country's biggest
concentration of political families, inter-elite competition is moderated at the
congressional districts because each family has developed its own turf and
power base.
The regions which show the highest turnover rates for congressional
districts are the ARMM and Region 5 (see Table 14). Sharing some common
structural features, the provinces in both regions are some of the poorest in the
whole country. Using HDI rankings, the ARMM provinces show the worst
outcomes in the country while four of the six provinces in Region 5 (Camarines
Norte, Catanduanes, Masbate, and Sorsogon) cluster in the lowest one third of
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