Rethinking Democratization in the Philippines: Elections, Political Families, and Parties
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explaining the developmental process. In short, political and economic
development is a multi-causal phenomenon which is difcult to reduce to a
single dramatic factor such as political familism.
To further explain concrete developmental outcomes, I examine some
recent research ndings on the impact of some political variables on socioeconomic outcomes in provinces as seen in poverty levels and human
development indicators (HDI-income, education, and health)) in the post26
Marcos era between 1998-2013: In this study by the Center for People
Empowerment in Governance (Panao, Rivera, and Panelo 2015), various factors
directly related to political families as well as non-political variables are
correlated with poverty and HDI outcomes at the provincial level. The data on
elections are drawn mainly from the Comelec, certicates of candidacies, the
Philippine Center for Investigative Journalism, published studies on political
families and elections, and various newspaper reports. The economic data are
based on ofcial reports by the National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB),
the Philippine Statistical Authority (PSA), and various issues of the Philippine
Human Development Report. Appendix 2 provides the summary of statistical
tests done for 81 provinces covering the years, 1998-2013.
First, two geographic factors stand out in the study with their statistically
signicant effect on HDI and poverty incidence: the impact of island provinces
and the proximity of a province to Metro Manila. The study shows that HDI
tends to be lower in island provinces while those closer to Metro Manila, the
primate city, tend to have better human development indicators and lower
incidence of poverty. With the exception of Batanes and Cebu which have high
HDI, all the other 15 island provinces in the country show higher levels of
poverty incidence and lower HDI. Moreover, with the exception of Cebu which
by itself has been a historical center of trade and commerce, all the other island
provinces are distant from Metro Manila and historically have had no easy
means of transportation and economic linkages to the premier city. These
geographic and historical factors suggest that political leaders in island
provinces, regardless of their family backgrounds, generally face more difcult
although not insurmountable constraints in improving the socio-economic
conditions of their localities.
Among the political variables related to political families tested in the study,
only one showed a statistically signicant impact on both the HDI and poverty
incidence in the province: a situation where the incumbent governor has also
relatives who are incumbent ofcials occupying other local positions at the
provincial, city or municipal level. This robust result suggests that a wider
network of incumbents belonging to the same family as that of the incumbent
governor is in a better position to improve socio-economic conditions, in
particular the HDI and to lower poverty incidence in the province. From a
rational management perspective, this seems to make sense since the governor
with such a network is better able to mobilize and coordinate resources and
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