TotalBalance and Primary Balance
1998 1999 2000 2001 2(h2 2003 2004
2005
'+PrimaryBalance *NGBalance
Figure 3 shows wide fluctuations in both the total balance and the primary balance. There was
a sharp fall in the primary balance between 1994 and 2002. This was mainly due to declining
revenue during this period. The primary balance recovered in the period 2003-2007 as the
government held back on spending while revenues improved. lt fell in 2008-2010 due to
deteriorating revenues following the global recession. 2011 saw an upturn in the primary
balance on account of cutbacks in spending and a slight uptick in revenue. The total balance of
the national government shows broadly similar movement as the primary balance, the
difference in levels being due to interest payments.
Public debt
Figure 4 shows improving debt ratios since 2004 to 2011. After peaking at 74.4o/o of GDP in
2004, total government debt as a percentage of GDP has gone down to 50.9% in 2011. Both
the domestic and external debt stocks fell during the period 2004-2011, with the domestic debt
falting by 10 percentage points and the external debt declining by 14 percentage points. The
decline in the external debt stock reflects falling world interest rates, easing risk premium for
Philippine debt, and sustained current account surplus. The current account surplus signifies
reduced need for new foreign loans.
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